Is the US's plan to provoke a war and the energy crisis in Europe true?

A report, allegedly written by the American analytical center Rand Corporation in January 2022, got into the network. It refers to the US plans to weaken Germany, provoking a military conflict and energy crisis in Europe. We checked the authenticity of this report.

The report was published The Swedish publication of NYA DAGBLADET on September 13, 2022, under the heading "Shocking document: how the United States planned the war and the energy crisis in Europe." In this report, as if prepared by the American analytical center of Rand Corporation, it is said about the US plans to destroy the economy of Europe at the expense of the Russian attack on Ukraine. This news was distributed by several Russian Mediaincluding "Russian newspaper" And Russia Today. Russian Embassy in Sweden too shared link to the article by NYA DAGBLADET, causing a wave Critics From Twitter users.

NYA DAGBLADET edition periodically Publishing Articles on the dangers of vaccination, the denial of the Holocaust and that ethnic diversity leads to the "white people genocide." On September 13, 2022, NYA DAGBLADET published a “shocking document” - a confidential “research report”, allegedly created in January 2022 by the American Corporation Rand and addressed to the head of the White House administration, the US Presidential Assistant for the National Security, the US State Party, the National Security Agency and the National Committee of the Democratic Party USA.

A published document is only the first four pages of the report containing its brief retelling. The remaining pages are absent. A brief retelling contains four sections: the first (“weaken Germany, strengthen the United States”) describes how Germany is gaining economic and political power and can ultimately become an opponent of the United States. The second (“weaknesses in the economy of Germany and the EU”) suggests that the termination of Russian energy supplies to Germany will cause a crisis throughout the European Union. The third section (“controlled crisis”) describes the US plans to provoke Russian aggression in Ukraine: “The only possible way to guarantee Germany to refuse energy supplies from Russia is to involve both sides in a military conflict in Ukraine. Our further actions in this country will inevitably lead to a military response from Russia. The Russians obviously will not be able to leave unanswered the massive pressure of the Ukrainian army in the unrecognized republics of Donbass. This will allow Russia to declare an aggressor and apply a pre -prepared package of sanctions to it. ” Finally, the final section (“Expected consequences”) predicts the collapse of European financial markets, the mass migration of qualified workers from Europe to the United States and strengthen the power of the Democratic Party.

A few days after the appearance of the January report on the Rand Corporation network Name His fake. The Rand statement itself does not confirm the fake of the document, but several other details are caused by serious doubts about its authenticity.

• Firstly, in all research reports Rand, affordable On the site, the names of the authors are indicated. And on the first page of the January report, neither the authors nor the name are indicated.
• Secondly, the text contains a lot of factual, stylistic and grammatical errors. For example, the second paragraph says: "The positions of the Democratic Party in Congress and the Senate in the upcoming elections." The author clearly had in mind the Senate and the House of Representatives, which together make up the US Congress.
• In addition, a report allegedly written in January 2022 says: “Thanks to our clear actions, the commissioning of the Northern Stream 2 gas pipeline was blocked. But the project was Blocked Germany only in February 2022 - in response to the recognition of the DPR and LPR. And in January, on the contrary, the US presidential administration Voted Against the commissioning of new sanctions against the gas pipeline.
• Another mistake is the use of U.S. To designate the name of the country. In the official documents U.S. It is used only as an adjective (for example, U.S. Military), and the country's name is used exclusively by United States.
• In the January report, the author speaks several times on behalf of the United States, using the pronoun "we". For example, “if we leave Europe once” or “we have lost a real opportunity to influence intergovernmental decisions.” In published reports Rand authors use “we” only in the meaning of the “team of authors”.
• Another oddity can be seen in copyright information on the second page of the report. It says: “The unauthorized posting of this publication on the Internet is prohibited; Placing a direct link to a web page with a report on Rand.org is welcome. ” If this report is confidential, then it cannot be placed on Rand.org and its distribution cannot be welcomed.
• You can also notice numerous errors in the use of articles and the British spelling of the word Neutralise (instead of the American Neutralize). If this report was really addressed to senior persons in the White House, he should have passed at least a check for spelling.

Such a number of inconsistencies indicates that the report, most likely, was written not by Rand Corporation, but by an unknown person for propaganda. Although most Russian -speaking publications quote the article by NYA DAGBLADET, we managed to find a source that published a report before the Swedish newspaper. On September 12, the YouTube user John Mark Dougan downloaded video called "Shocking Confidential Report Leaked! Now it all makes sense! ” ("A leak of a shocking confidential report! Now everything has become clear!"). In the video, the author reads and comments on the report allegedly received from an anonymous informant. Under the video, the author gives link At Yandex.Disk, where on September 12 he loaded the scanned pages of the report.

John Dugan is a former American military and policeman who received political asylum in Russia in 2016. IN blog Parties "United Russia" written:

“John Dugan suffered in his homeland for an increased sense of justice. After he learned about the crimes of his colleagues, he did not hide them, but immediately turned to the FBI. However, instead of taking measures, special services began to hunt for the Dugan himself. Fleeing from the persecution, John had to leave his homeland in a hurry and in a female wig. ”

According to the publications of American publications, Dugan Laid On the Internet, personal data is 14,000 federal agents, police and special services. After that, the FBI searched the Dugan’s house, and, frightened by punishment, he fled to Russia. Since then, Dugan has been leading Blog And page on VKontakte, where it periodically publishes posts in support of the Russian military operation in Ukraine and its own investigations - For example, on financing by the US Government of Biolaboratories in Eastern Europe.

We do not know whether Dugan was the author of the Rand report or received it from someone else. But, taking into account the inconsistencies in the report itself and the dubious source of its distribution, it is highly likely to argue that the report published by the Dugan is not related to the Rand Corporation.

Image on the cover: NYA DAGBLADET

Fake

What do our verdicts mean?

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